Merani Tbilisivs
Varketili
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Liga 3 · 5/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varketili · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Merani Tbilisi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Varketili are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Varketili hold a 32.3-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 82.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.0% in the Liga 3, while Varketili holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Varketili
Probability
68.0%
Model confidence
68.0%
Varketili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40