Merani Tbilisivs
Irao
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Liga 3 · 6/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Irao · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Merani Tbilisi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Irao are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Irao hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 61.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Liga 3, while Irao holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Irao
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Irao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40