GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 6/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Irao · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Merani Tbilisi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Irao are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Irao hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 61.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Liga 3, while Irao holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Irao

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Irao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merani TbilisiWLWDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
IraoLLWLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Merani TbilisiIrao
45.1Attack58.8
54.9Defence68.6
51.0Form58.8
49.9Power61.8
0.89xG1.51
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