Merani Tbilisivs
Guria
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Liga 3 · 8/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guria · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Merani Tbilisi are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Guria are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guria hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the Liga 3, while Guria holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guria
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
12.5%
Guria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00