GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 5/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gonio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Merani Tbilisi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gonio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gonio hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Liga 3, while Gonio holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gonio

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Gonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merani TbilisiLWWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
GonioLLWDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Merani TbilisiGonio
45.1Attack54.9
54.9Defence76.5
51.0Form66.7
49.9Power65.1
0.77xG1.43
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