Merani Martvilivs
Telavi
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 5/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Merani Martvili are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Telavi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merani Martvili hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80