GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 5/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merani Martvili · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Merani Martvili are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shturmi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merani Martvili hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Merani Martvili holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merani Martvili

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Merani Martvili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merani MartviliWWWDL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ShturmiWLDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Merani MartviliShturmi
33.3Attack37.7
83.3Defence55.3
66.7Form40.4
64.8Power46.1
1.37xG0.85
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