GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 6/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merani Martvili · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Merani Martvili are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Samtredia are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Merani Martvili hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Merani Martvili holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merani Martvili

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Merani Martvili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merani MartviliLDWLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
SamtrediaDLLDD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Merani MartviliSamtredia
33.3Attack40.7
83.3Defence61.1
66.7Form42.6
64.8Power49.4
1.18xG0.93
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