GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 4/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gareji · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Merani Martvili are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gareji are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 64.8 against 63.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Gareji holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gareji

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Gareji has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merani MartviliDLDWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GarejiWWDLW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Merani MartviliGareji
33.3Attack71.3
83.3Defence59.3
66.7Form62.0
64.8Power63.9
1.19xG1.70
View match centre →