Merani Martvili IIvsSaburtalo II

Merani Martvili II are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 2.33 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Saburtalo II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Saburtalo II hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the David Kipiani Cup, while Merani Martvili II holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.