Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Memmingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Memmingen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Kottern are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Memmingen hold a 46.9-point power-rating edge (53.9 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Memmingen holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Memmingen
Probability
63.5%
Model confidence
9.1%
Memmingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00