Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Memmingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Memmingen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Lugano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Memmingen hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (53.9 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Memmingen holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Memmingen
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Memmingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20