Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Memmingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Memmingen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Essingen are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Memmingen hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (53.9 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Memmingen holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Memmingen
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Memmingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00