Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melhus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Melhus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while NTNUI are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Melhus hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (69.7 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.3% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Melhus holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Melhus
Probability
86.3%
Model confidence
86.3%
Melhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00