Melbourne Victory IIvsNorthcote City

Melbourne Victory II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Northcote City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Northcote City hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 64.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Northcote City holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.