Melbourne Victory IIvsNorth Geelong Warriors

Melbourne Victory II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while North Geelong Warriors are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Victory II hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.4% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Victory II holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.