GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 8/3/2026, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Victory II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Melbourne Victory II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Melbourne Srbija are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Victory II hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Victory II holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Victory II

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Melbourne Victory II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne Victory IIWWDLW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne SrbijaWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Melbourne Victory IIMelbourne Srbija
75.4Attack38.9
49.3Defence65.3
58.0Form50.0
61.0Power53.4
1.77xG1.09
View match centre →