GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 5/23/2026, 8:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Srbija · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Melbourne Srbija are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Western United II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Srbija hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 39.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Srbija holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Srbija

Probability

60.0%

Model confidence

9.8%

Melbourne Srbija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne SrbijaWDWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Western United IILWLWL

GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Melbourne SrbijaWestern United II
39.1Attack66.7
65.2Defence8.7
50.7Form36.2
53.7Power39.8
2.36xG1.25
View match centre →