Melbourne Srbijavs
North Geelong Warriors
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL 2 · 8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Melbourne Srbija are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while North Geelong Warriors are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and melbourne Srbija hold a 11.2-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Victoria NPL 2, favouring a draw with 12.0% confidence, a 51% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.2%
Model confidence
12.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60