GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 4/18/2026, 8:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eltham Redbacks FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Melbourne Srbija are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Eltham Redbacks FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.4 against 54.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Eltham Redbacks FC holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eltham Redbacks FC

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Eltham Redbacks FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne SrbijaLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Eltham Redbacks FCWLWWD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Melbourne SrbijaEltham Redbacks FC
38.9Attack75.0
65.3Defence45.8
50.0Form48.6
53.4Power54.6
1.39xG1.47
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