GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 7/31/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Melbourne Knights are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Western United II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Knights hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (69.3 v 39.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Knights

Probability

84.7%

Model confidence

9.4%

Melbourne Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne KnightsWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Western United IILLLWW

GF 13 · GA 19 · avg 2.60/3.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Melbourne KnightsWestern United II
65.3Attack66.7
72.2Defence8.7
70.8Form36.2
69.3Power39.8
4.13xG1.01
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