GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 5/1/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Knights · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Melbourne Knights are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Port Melbourne are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Knights hold a 42.5-point power-rating edge (69.3 v 26.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.3% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Knights

Probability

89.3%

Model confidence

89.3%

Melbourne Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne KnightsLDWWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Port MelbourneWDWLL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Melbourne KnightsPort Melbourne
65.3Attack19.4
72.2Defence27.8
70.8Form23.6
69.3Power26.8
3.52xG0.42
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