Melbourne Knightsvs
Northcote City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL 2 · 3/27/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melbourne Knights · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Melbourne Knights are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Northcote City are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Knights hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (69.3 v 64.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Melbourne Knights
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Melbourne Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80