Melbourne Knightsvs
Melbourne Victory II
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL 2 · 2/20/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melbourne Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Melbourne Knights are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Melbourne Victory II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Knights hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (69.3 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Melbourne Knights
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
9.9%
Melbourne Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 18 · avg 0.60/3.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00