GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 4/17/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

Melbourne Knights are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Manningham United Blues are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Knights hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (69.3 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Knights

Probability

82.5%

Model confidence

11.2%

Melbourne Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne KnightsWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Manningham United BluesLLWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne KnightsManningham United Blues
65.3Attack52.8
72.2Defence27.8
70.8Form41.7
69.3Power42.5
3.36xG0.81
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