GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 3/14/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Melbourne City II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while St. Albans Saints are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne City II hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.6% in the Victoria NPL, while Melbourne City II holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne City II

Probability

62.6%

Model confidence

62.6%

Melbourne City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne City IIDLWDD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
St. Albans SaintsWLLDL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne City IISt. Albans Saints
56.5Attack38.9
56.5Defence41.7
43.5Form38.9
50.9Power42.3
2.20xG0.92
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