Melbourne City IIvs
South Melbourne
SCHEDULEDAustralia · Victoria NPL · 8/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melbourne City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Melbourne City II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while South Melbourne are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.1 against 53.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Victoria NPL, while Melbourne City II holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Melbourne City II
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
11.9%
Melbourne City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00