GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 3/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Preston Lions · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Melbourne City II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Preston Lions are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Preston Lions hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Victoria NPL, while Preston Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Preston Lions

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Preston Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne City IIWDDWL

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Preston LionsWWLWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Melbourne City IIPreston Lions
56.5Attack50.0
56.5Defence72.7
43.5Form65.2
50.9Power63.6
1.01xG1.26
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