GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 3/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oakleigh Cannons · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Melbourne City II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Oakleigh Cannons are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Oakleigh Cannons hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Victoria NPL, while Oakleigh Cannons holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oakleigh Cannons

Probability

50.8%

Model confidence

50.8%

Oakleigh Cannons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne City IILWDDW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Oakleigh CannonsWWLLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Melbourne City IIOakleigh Cannons
56.5Attack68.1
56.5Defence70.8
43.5Form70.8
50.9Power69.9
1.02xG1.75
View match centre →