GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 3/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Melbourne City II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Altona Magic are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne City II hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.4% in the Victoria NPL, while Melbourne City II holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne City II

Probability

60.4%

Model confidence

60.4%

Melbourne City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne City IIWDLWD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Altona MagicLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne City IIAltona Magic
56.5Attack37.5
56.5Defence45.8
43.5Form37.5
50.9Power42.6
2.04xG0.89
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