GGOALVIO

China · League One · 3/21/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Meizhou Kejia are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Suzhou Dongwu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Suzhou Dongwu hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the League One, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Meizhou KejiaLLDLL

GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Suzhou DongwuLWDWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Meizhou KejiaSuzhou Dongwu
35.2Attack25.9
37.0Defence57.4
37.0Form31.5
39.1Power41.2
0.96xG0.89
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