GGOALVIO

China · League One · 5/30/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heilongjiang Lava Spring · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Meizhou Kejia are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Heilongjiang Lava Spring hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the League One, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Heilongjiang Lava Spring has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Meizhou KejiaWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Heilongjiang Lava SpringDLLDW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Meizhou KejiaHeilongjiang Lava Spring
35.2Attack51.9
37.0Defence35.2
37.0Form38.9
39.1Power44.6
1.45xG1.81
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