GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/11/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Meizhou Kejia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Guangxi Hengchen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangxi Hengchen hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the League One, while Guangxi Hengchen holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guangxi Hengchen

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

62.5%

Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Meizhou KejiaWLLLD

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Guangxi HengchenWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Meizhou KejiaGuangxi Hengchen
35.2Attack58.8
37.0Defence58.8
37.0Form56.9
39.1Power59.4
0.88xG2.14
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