Meizhou Kejiavs
Dongguan United
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 8/8/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Meizhou Kejia are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dongguan United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and meizhou Kejia hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the League One, favouring a draw with 13.4% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.1%
Model confidence
13.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80