GGOALVIO

China · League One · 7/5/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Changchun Yatai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Meizhou Kejia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Changchun Yatai are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Changchun Yatai hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the League One, while Changchun Yatai holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Changchun Yatai

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Changchun Yatai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Meizhou KejiaWDDWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Changchun YataiLWDLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Meizhou KejiaChangchun Yatai
35.2Attack50.0
37.0Defence37.0
37.0Form42.6
39.1Power45.4
1.40xG1.75
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