Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MVV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Meerssen are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while MVV are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and MVV hold a 51.6-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while MVV holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MVV
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
MVV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 16 · avg 0.20/3.20
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40