Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Meerbusch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Meerbusch are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Hilden are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Meerbusch hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (66.4 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Meerbusch holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Meerbusch
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Meerbusch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80