Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Measurers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Police are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Police hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Calcutta Premier Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80