Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Measurers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Measurers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Peerless are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Measurers hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 40.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the Calcutta Premier Division, while Measurers holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Measurers
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
12.5%
Measurers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00