Mauavs
Uniao Mogi
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 7/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Maua are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Uniao Mogi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Maua hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Paulista Série B, while Maua holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maua
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Maua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80