GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Itaquá Athletico Clube · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Maua are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Itaquá Athletico Clube are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Itaquá Athletico Clube hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 74.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.8% in the Paulista Série B, while Itaquá Athletico Clube holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Itaquá Athletico Clube

Probability

60.8%

Model confidence

60.8%

Itaquá Athletico Clube has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MauaWDWDD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Itaquá Athletico ClubeWWW

GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.67/0.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
MauaItaquá Athletico Clube
63.9Attack68.8
44.4Defence75.0
52.8Form79.2
53.2Power74.2
1.02xG2.23
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