GGOALVIO

Japan · J3 League · 8/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Matsumoto Yamaga · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Matsumoto Yamaga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Biwako Shiga are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LDWL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Matsumoto Yamaga hold a 44.7-point power-rating edge (51.7 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the J3 League, while Matsumoto Yamaga holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Matsumoto Yamaga

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

Matsumoto Yamaga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Matsumoto YamagaDWWLD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Biwako ShigaLDWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.25/2.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Matsumoto YamagaBiwako Shiga
44.7Attack0.0
58.8Defence0.0
47.4Form0.0
51.7Power7.0
1.59xG0.87
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