Matonensevs
Santacruzense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 4/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Matonense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Matonense are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Santacruzense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Matonense hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the Paulista Série B, while Matonense holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Matonense
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
Matonense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60