GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 4/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Matonense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Matonense are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Santacruzense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Matonense hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the Paulista Série B, while Matonense holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Matonense

Probability

61.2%

Model confidence

61.2%

Matonense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MatonenseL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
SantacruzenseWDWLW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MatonenseSantacruzense
71.4Attack52.8
66.7Defence55.6
61.9Form41.7
62.1Power48.8
2.13xG0.93
View match centre →