GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 7/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Matonense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Matonense are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Flamengo SP are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Flamengo SP hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 69.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Paulista Série B, while Matonense holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Matonense

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Matonense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MatonenseDWWWD

GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Flamengo SPWDWWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MatonenseFlamengo SP
71.4Attack41.7
66.7Defence81.3
61.9Form75.0
62.1Power69.0
1.19xG0.78
View match centre →