Matlock Townvs
Barnsley
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barnsley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Matlock Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Barnsley are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Barnsley hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (21.2 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Barnsley holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Barnsley
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Barnsley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60