Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Managua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Matagalpa are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Managua are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Managua hold an 80.7-point power-rating edge (11.8 v 92.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Primera Division, while Managua holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Managua
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
10.8%
Managua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40