Mashuk-KMVvs
Kaluga
SCHEDULEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 8/16/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mashuk-KMV are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kaluga are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mashuk-KMV hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.4% in the Second League A - Division A Gold, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
23.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60