Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sogdiana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mash'al are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sogdiana are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sogdiana hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (25.1 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the Super League, while Sogdiana holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sogdiana
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Sogdiana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40