Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nasaf · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Mash'al are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nasaf are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nasaf hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (25.1 v 56.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the Super League, while Nasaf holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nasaf
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
Nasaf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60