Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buxoro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Mash'al are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Buxoro are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Buxoro hold a 33.4-point power-rating edge (25.1 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.1% in the Super League, while Buxoro holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Buxoro
Probability
64.6%
Model confidence
18.1%
Buxoro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60