Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marseille · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Marseille are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nice are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Marseille hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (67.8 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Marseille holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Marseille
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Marseille has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60